← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Dec 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocon Arraiz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 50% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Extremadura win | 20% | 4.76 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Zaragoza |
| 37' | ⚽ | Willy · Extremadura |
| 54' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 57' | ⚽ | Jorge Pombo · Zaragoza |
| 76' | ⚽ | Giorgi Papunashvili · Zaragoza |
| 78' | 🟨 | Giorgi Papunashvili · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 28 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| coach days | 21.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1458.88 | 1402.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.97 | 27.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| league points | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.63 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.26 | 26.99 |
| state index | -0.83 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |