← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Cesar Soto Grado, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
| Lugo win | 23% | 4.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Juan Carlos · Almeria |
| 15' | 🟨 | Lucien Owona · Almeria |
| 18' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Almeria |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 26' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 36' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 36' | 🟥 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 41' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 88' | 🟥 | Sekou Gassama · Almeria |
| 89' | 🟨 | Juan Narváez · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 13 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 655.00 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| 76.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 3.47 |
| elo | 1442.08 | 1401.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.36 | 1.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.29 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.12 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |