← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Dec 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 44% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
| Albacete win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Rey Manaj · Albacete |
| 24' | 🟨 | Eugeni Valderrama · Albacete |
| 43' | 🟨 | Pichu Atienza · Numancia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jérémie Bela · Albacete |
| 48' | 🟨 | Pelayo Suarez · Numancia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Rey Manaj · Albacete |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mickaël Malsa · Albacete |
| 78' | 🟨 | Pape Maly Diamanka · Numancia |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Guillermo · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 197.00 | 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.36 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1469.84 | 1497.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.07 | 26.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.82 |
| league points | 22.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 28.35 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |