← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Mario Milla Alvendiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Lugo win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Deivid · Las Palmas |
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 19' | 🟨 | David Timor · Las Palmas |
| 25' | ⚽ | Juan Cala · Las Palmas |
| 36' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 41' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Lugo |
| 47' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Lugo |
| 50' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 54' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 87' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Lugo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Rafa Mir · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fidel · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Cala · Las Palmas |
| 90' | ⚽ | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 13 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 69.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1408.50 | 1470.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.89 | -13.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 29.31 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |