← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Mario Milla Alvendiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Lugo win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Deivid · Las Palmas |
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 19' | 🟨 | David Timor · Las Palmas |
| 25' | ⚽ | Juan Cala · Las Palmas |
| 36' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 41' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Lugo |
| 47' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Lugo |
| 50' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 54' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 87' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Lugo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Rafa Mir · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fidel · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Cala · Las Palmas |
| 90' | ⚽ | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 13 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 69.00 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 22.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.78 |
| elo | 1388.19 | 1414.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.04 | -9.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 6.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |