← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Dec 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias Villanueva, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
| Almeria win | 18% | 5.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Mossa · Oviedo |
| 15' | ⚽ | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 18' | ⚽ | Juan Carlos · Almeria |
| 51' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Oviedo |
| 57' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 69' | 🟨 | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 71' | 🟨 | Javier Hernández · Oviedo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Javier Hernández · Oviedo |
| 75' | 🟥 | Javier Hernández · Oviedo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Oviedo |
| 80' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yoel Bárcenas · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Jorge Garbajosa |
| coach days | 525.00 | 647.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1504.12 | 1460.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.17 | -6.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| league points | 26.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.94 | 26.07 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |