← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Dec 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.82 |
| Mallorca win | 31% | 3.17 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
| 22' | 🟨 | Dani Pacheco · Málaga CF |
| 42' | ⚽ | Jack Harper · Málaga CF |
| 73' | ⚽ | Alex López · Mallorca |
| 78' | 🟨 | Gustavo Blanco · Málaga CF |
| 85' | ⚽ | Miguel Cifuentes · Málaga CF |
| 89' | 🟨 | Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Monir El Kajoui · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Lombán · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Federico Ricca · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 616.00 | 190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1494.33 | 1516.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.43 | -16.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.66 |
| league points | 27.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.22 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 23.94 | 25.98 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |