← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Dec 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.01 |
| Lugo win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Lugo |
| 39' | 🟨 | Aridane Hernández · CA Osasuna |
| 69' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Juan Villar · CA Osasuna |
| 90' | ⚽ | Iñigo Pérez · CA Osasuna |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CA Osasuna | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Sadar |
| coach days | 184.00 | 62.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1515.05 | 1414.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.27 | -14.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| league points | 25.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.57 | 27.25 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |