← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Dec 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Extremadura win | 22% | 4.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Almeria |
| 18' | ⚽ | Enric Gallego · Extremadura |
| 23' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 26' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Almeria |
| 29' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Extremadura |
| 46' | 🟨 | Fausto Tienza · Extremadura |
| 53' | 🟨 | Lucien Owona · Almeria |
| 73' | 🟨 | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 74' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 640.00 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| 30.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 1.64 |
| elo | 1430.24 | 1453.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.20 | -8.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.29 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.52 |
| league points | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 6.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.61 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |