← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Dec 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Cesar Soto Grado, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Granada win | 22% | 4.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | ⚽ | Ángel Montoro · Granada |
| 69' | 🟨 | Ángel Montoro · Granada |
| 78' | 🟨 | Diego González · Málaga CF |
| 84' | 🟨 | Rui Silva · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sead Hakšabanović · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 6 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 183.00 | 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.56 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1529.20 | 1503.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.25 | -10.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| league points | 30.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 59.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | 1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.19 | 26.91 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | 1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |