← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias Villanueva, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Extremadura win | 27% | 3.56 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Pau Torres · Málaga CF |
| 32' | ⚽ | Kike · Extremadura |
| 53' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 68' | 🟨 | Ivan Rodríguez · Málaga CF |
| 73' | 🟨 | Alfred N'Diaye · Málaga CF |
| 78' | 🟨 | Diego González · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Íñigo López · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 24.00 | 177.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 3.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1398.03 | 1541.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.71 | 8.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.45 | 0.69 |
| league points | 12.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 19.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.65 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 25.42 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |