← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Abraham Dominguez Cervantes, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
| Numancia win | 23% | 4.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Ariday · Mallorca |
| 32' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 67' | 🟨 | Alain Oyarzun · Numancia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Pichu Atienza · Numancia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Marc Pedraza · Mallorca |
| 87' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 603.00 | 177.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 3.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1472.47 | 1462.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.45 | -19.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.44 | 26.66 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |