← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Nov 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Inaki Vicandi Garrido, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Lugo win | 21% | 4.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Ramon Azeez · Lugo |
| 26' | 🟨 | Jérémie Bela · Albacete |
| 40' | 🟨 | Santiago Gentiletti · Albacete |
| 58' | 🟨 | Aleix Febas · Albacete |
| 61' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Lugo |
| 80' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 84' | ⚽ | Jérémie Bela · Albacete |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jérémie Bela · Albacete |
| 85' | 🟥 | Jérémie Bela · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 170.00 |
| venue | Carlos Belmonte |
| 48.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.51 |
| elo | 1478.39 | 1391.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.51 | -5.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.72 |
| league points | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |