← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Nov 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Tenerife win | 17% | 5.79 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Juan Villar · CA Osasuna |
| 41' | 🟨 | José Naranjo · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | Suso · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lucas Aveldaño · Tenerife |
| 45' | ⚽ | Oier · CA Osasuna |
| 53' | 🟨 | Oier · CA Osasuna |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aridane Hernández · CA Osasuna |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CA Osasuna | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Sadar |
| coach days | 169.00 | 77.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1514.57 | 1471.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.65 | -6.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.69 | 26.33 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |