← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Nov 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Mallorca win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Baldé · Oviedo |
| 35' | 🟨 | Mossa · Oviedo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 52' | ⚽ | Lago Júnior · Mallorca |
| 59' | 🟨 | Abdón Prats · Mallorca |
| 61' | 🟨 | Juan Forlin · Oviedo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Yoel Bárcenas · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Jorge Garbajosa |
| coach days | 491.00 | 582.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1488.64 | 1452.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.75 | 6.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.78 |
| league points | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.26 | 28.12 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |