← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Nov 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Extremadura win | 24% | 3.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Miguel De las Cuevas · Cordoba |
| 24' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Extremadura |
| 32' | 🟨 | Fausto Tienza · Extremadura |
| 32' | 🟨 | Íñigo López · Extremadura |
| 34' | 🟨 | Federico Piovaccari · Cordoba |
| 39' | 🟨 | Federico Piovaccari · Cordoba |
| 39' | 🟥 | Federico Piovaccari · Cordoba |
| 39' | ⚽ | Enric Gallego · Extremadura |
| 57' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 62' | ⚽ | Willy · Extremadura |
| 70' | 🟨 | Alvaro Romero · Extremadura |
| 72' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Extremadura |
| 72' | 🟥 | Carlos Pomares · Extremadura |
| 77' | ⚽ | Saša Jovanović · Cordoba |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Extremadura |
| 84' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 90' | ⚽ | Saša Jovanović · Cordoba |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jaime Romero · Cordoba |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 8 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| coach days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1445.96 | 1393.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.04 | -4.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.20 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| league points | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.83 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 26.83 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |