← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Nov 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alvaro Moreno Aragon
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reus win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.87 |
| Lugo win | 26% | 3.79 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 68' | 🟨 | Borja Herrera · Reus |
| 78' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Reus |
| 85' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 25 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reus | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Reus |
| coach days | 133.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1439.28 | 1418.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.09 | -10.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.75 |
| league points | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.53 | 27.70 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |