← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Oct 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Albacete win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Jose Antonio Pardo · Extremadura |
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Eugeni Valderrama · Albacete |
| 34' | ⚽ | Fausto Tienza · Extremadura |
| 36' | 🟨 | Mathías Olivera · Albacete |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mickaël Malsa · Albacete |
| 42' | 🟨 | Álvaro Tejero · Albacete |
| 65' | 🟨 | Carlos Valverde · Extremadura |
| 74' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 757.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1403.97 | 1450.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.06 | 3.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 48.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| league points | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.67 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.30 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 25.15 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.51 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |