← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Oct 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocon Arraiz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.91 |
| Cadiz win | 32% | 3.07 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Edu Ramos · Cadiz |
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 18' | ⚽ | Manu Vallejo · Cadiz |
| 40' | 🟨 | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 57' | 🟨 | Miguel Vieira · Lugo |
| 57' | 🟨 | Sergio Sánchez · Cadiz |
| 71' | 🟨 | Róber · Cadiz |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jon Ander Garrido · Cadiz |
| 86' | ⚽ | Jairo Izquierdo · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 26.00 | 939.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1428.60 | 1481.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.89 | -25.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.69 |
| league points | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | — |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.51 | 27.47 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |