← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Oct 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alvaro Moreno Aragon
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Extremadura win | 16% | 5.99 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 29' | 🟨 | Carlos Valverde · Extremadura |
| 31' | 🟨 | Aitor Fernández · Extremadura |
| 36' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 38' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Extremadura |
| 58' | ⚽ | Ariday · Mallorca |
| 66' | 🟨 | Fran Gámez · Mallorca |
| 71' | 🟨 | Aitor Fernández · Extremadura |
| 71' | 🟥 | Aitor Fernández · Extremadura |
| 74' | 🟨 | Manolo Reina · Mallorca |
| 78' | 🟨 | Enric Gallego · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Pedraza · Mallorca |
| 90' | 🟥 | Iddrisu Baba · Mallorca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Extremadura |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Kike · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 568.00 | 750.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1457.01 | 1400.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.33 | 18.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | — |
| league points | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.67 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.61 | 28.17 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -1.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |