← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Oct 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.29 |
| Numancia win | 18% | 5.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Yaw Yeboah · Numancia |
| 1' | ⚽ | Sergio Araujo · Las Palmas |
| 20' | ⚽ | Rafa Mir · Las Palmas |
| 22' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Numancia |
| 34' | 🟨 | Pelayo Suarez · Numancia |
| 42' | 🟨 | David Timor · Las Palmas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Rafa Mir · Las Palmas |
| 60' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 67' | 🟨 | David García · Las Palmas |
| 73' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 73' | 🟥 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 76' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Danny Blum · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 172.00 |
| venue | Gran Canaria |
| 141.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.44 |
| elo | 1403.63 | 1468.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.04 | 2.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| league points | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.56 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.44 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |