← Segunda División 2018 · Fri, Oct 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
| Elche CF win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Neyder Lozano · Elche CF |
| 38' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Villar · Elche CF |
| 62' | 🟨 | Federico Ricca · Málaga CF |
| 63' | ⚽ | Borja Martinez · Elche CF |
| 68' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 88' | 🟨 | Benja · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 260.00 | 140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1378.42 | 1552.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 2.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.35 | 26.51 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | -1.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |