← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Oct 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Mario Milla Alvendiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.67 |
| Lugo win | 18% | 5.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 51' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 60' | 🟨 | Josete · Lugo |
| 62' | 🟨 | Filip Malbašić · Tenerife |
| 77' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Jiménez · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luis Milla · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Heliodoro Rodríguez López |
| coach days | 43.00 | 13.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1478.36 | 1417.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.27 | -8.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.83 |
| league points | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 27.77 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |