← Segunda División 2018 · Fri, Oct 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruben Avalos Barrera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.95 |
| Cadiz win | 32% | 2.99 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Ivan Kecojević · Cadiz |
| 37' | 🟨 | Matos · Cadiz |
| 38' | 🟨 | Manu Vallejo · Cadiz |
| 56' | ⚽ | Enric Gallego · Extremadura |
| 58' | 🟨 | José Mari · Cadiz |
| 59' | ⚽ | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 63' | 🟨 | Chuli · Extremadura |
| 64' | 🟨 | Carlos Valverde · Extremadura |
| 67' | 🟨 | Vincenzo Rennella · Extremadura |
| 70' | 🟨 | Enric Gallego · Extremadura |
| 78' | 🟨 | Diego Capel · Extremadura |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jon Ander Garrido · Cadiz |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ivan Kecojević · Cadiz |
| 89' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aitor Fernández · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dejan Lekic · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Fernández · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 741.00 | 924.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1389.48 | 1493.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.97 | -44.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.62 | 46.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.71 | — |
| season ppg | 0.56 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.04 | 27.98 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.68 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |