← Segunda División 2018 · Fri, Oct 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Albacete win | 14% | 6.67 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | José Antonio Caro · Albacete |
| 54' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Málaga CF |
| 58' | ⚽ (pen) | Jérémie Bela · Albacete |
| 64' | ⚽ | Gustavo Blanco · Málaga CF |
| 67' | ⚽ | Gustavo Blanco · Málaga CF |
| 74' | 🟨 | Federico Ricca · Málaga CF |
| 77' | 🟨 | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jack Harper · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 25 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 133.00 |
| venue | La Rosaleda |
| 133.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.26 |
| elo | 1465.16 | 1466.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.40 | 18.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| league points | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 4.92 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.38 | 1.63 |
| skill v1 | -1.06 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.28 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |