← Segunda División 2018 · Mon, Oct 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| CA Osasuna win | 28% | 3.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Diogo Verdasca · Zaragoza |
| 24' | 🟨 | Aridane Hernández · CA Osasuna |
| 38' | ⚽ | Diogo Verdasca · Zaragoza |
| 64' | ⚽ | Brandon · CA Osasuna |
| 70' | 🟨 | Alberto Zapater · Zaragoza |
| 85' | 🟨 | Alberto Soro · Zaragoza |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jorge Pombo · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro Ratón · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 129.00 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| 129.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.46 |
| elo | 1511.11 | 1454.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.13 | -4.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.63 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.95 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |