← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Oct 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Abraham Dominguez Cervantes, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Extremadura win | 21% | 4.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 52' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Extremadura |
| 77' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟨 | Enric Gallego · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 127.00 | 735.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1465.97 | 1395.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.81 | -7.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.71 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.29 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 28.07 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -1.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |