← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Sep 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.92 |
| Reus win | 23% | 4.29 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 27' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Almeria |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 77' | 🟨 | Sekou Gassama · Almeria |
| 81' | 🟨 | — · Reus |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 23 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Reus |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 578.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1440.72 | 1452.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.22 | 15.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| league points | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.67 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.27 | 25.86 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.94 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |