← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Sep 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruben Avalos Barrera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.97 |
| Mallorca win | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 21' | 🟨 | Jean Marie Dongou · Lugo |
| 24' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 43' | ⚽ | Fran Gámez · Mallorca |
| 52' | 🟨 | Martin Valjent · Mallorca |
| 56' | 🟨 | Salvador Ruiz · Mallorca |
| 83' | 🟨 | Miguel Vieira · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 104.00 | 546.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1428.70 | 1446.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.05 | -4.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.83 |
| league points | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | — |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.87 | 26.78 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |