← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Sep 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Albacete win | 21% | 4.57 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Rey Manaj · Albacete |
| 39' | 🟨 | Álvaro Tejero · Albacete |
| 41' | 🟨 | — · Albacete |
| 45' | 🟨 | Salva Sevilla · Mallorca |
| 48' | 🟥 | Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca |
| 51' | ⚽ | Lago Júnior · Mallorca |
| 55' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 60' | ⚽ | Javi Acuña · Albacete |
| 63' | 🟨 | Alex López · Mallorca |
| 90' | ⚽ | Javi Acuña · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 11 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 540.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1464.27 | 1447.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.70 | 35.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| league points | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.49 | 27.20 |
| state index | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |