← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Sep 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Extremadura win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Rubén Castro · Las Palmas |
| 20' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Extremadura |
| 34' | 🟨 | Rubén Castro · Las Palmas |
| 37' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Las Palmas |
| 38' | ⚽ | Enric Gallego · Extremadura |
| 45' | 🟨 | Diego Capel · Extremadura |
| 49' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 60' | 🟨 | Carlos Valverde · Extremadura |
| 63' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Las Palmas |
| 63' | 🟥 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Las Palmas |
| 66' | 🟨 | Fidel · Las Palmas |
| 76' | 🟨 | Raúl Fernández · Las Palmas |
| 85' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 85' | 🟨 | Chuli · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 23 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 715.00 | 138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.59 |
| elo | 1381.77 | 1481.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.88 | 17.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.64 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| league points | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.75 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.71 |
| season ppg | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | 1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.75 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.75 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.34 | 28.80 |
| state index | -1.46 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |