← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Sep 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Valentin Pizarro Gomez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Oviedo win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Joselu · Oviedo |
| 19' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 56' | ⚽ | Javier Muñoz · Oviedo |
| 62' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Oviedo |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ramon Folch · Oviedo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Miguel Vieira · Lugo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 91.00 | 442.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1419.97 | 1497.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.61 | 5.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| league points | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.02 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.54 | 28.22 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.30 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |