← Segunda División 2018 · Mon, Sep 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Valentin Pizarro Gomez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.91 |
| Almeria win | 25% | 3.81 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Jack Harper · Málaga CF |
| 88' | 🟨 | — · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alfred N'Diaye · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 551.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -1.20 |
| -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1427.13 | 1520.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.02 | -15.61 |
| eye test v1 | -1.70 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.59 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.79 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.33 | 26.51 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |