← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Sep 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Las Palmas win | 28% | 3.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Diogo Verdasca · Zaragoza |
| 28' | ⚽ | Álvaro Vázquez · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Juan Cala · Las Palmas |
| 54' | 🟨 | Javi Castellano · Las Palmas |
| 65' | ⚽ | Rafa Mir · Las Palmas |
| 89' | 🟨 | Dani Castellano · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 11 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| coach days | 92.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1547.92 | 1464.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.82 | -8.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.90 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.76 | 28.39 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |