← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Sep 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Mario Milla Alvendiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.09 |
| Numancia win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Pichu Atienza · Numancia |
| 40' | ⚽ | Alain Oyarzun · Numancia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 49' | ⚽ | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 62' | 🟨 | Pablo Larrea · Numancia |
| 65' | ⚽ | Antonio Campillo · Lugo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Lugo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 86' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Numancia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Giorgi Aburjania · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 23 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 76.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1416.42 | 1480.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.24 | 3.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | 0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.25 | 25.71 |
| state index | -0.79 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.35 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |