← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Aug 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
| Lugo win | 19% | 5.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Bernardo · Lugo |
| 27' | ⚽ | Antonio Puertas · Granada |
| 37' | 🟨 | Fede Vico · Granada |
| 58' | 🟨 | Quini · Granada |
| 62' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 74' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro Vadillo · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 86.00 | 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1452.50 | 1413.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.93 | -26.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | 1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.51 | 27.40 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | 1.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |