← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Aug 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.86 |
| Lugo win | 32% | 3.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 41' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Alfred N'Diaye · Málaga CF |
| 86' | ⚽ | Juankar · Málaga CF |
| 89' | ⚽ | Alfred N'Diaye · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hicham Boussefiane · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 62.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1423.04 | 1504.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.77 | -16.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.50 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.55 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.59 | 25.97 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.29 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |