← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Aug 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Granada win | 31% | 3.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Nicolás Aguirre · Granada |
| 41' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Villar · Elche CF |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Verdú · Elche CF |
| 82' | 🟨 | Quini · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Martínez · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 198.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1384.29 | 1452.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.59 | -3.29 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.90 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 24.31 | 28.02 |
| state index | -1.16 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |