← Segunda División 2018 · Fri, Aug 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 59% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Almeria win | 13% | 7.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Sekou Gassama · Almeria |
| 28' | 🟨 | Lucien Owona · Almeria |
| 30' | 🟨 | Matos · Cadiz |
| 50' | 🟨 | Luis Rioja · Almeria |
| 52' | 🟨 | Chema Núñez · Almeria |
| 56' | 🟨 | Salvador Agra · Cadiz |
| 71' | 🟨 | José Mari · Cadiz |
| 76' | ⚽ | Álex Fernández · Cadiz |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ager Aketxe · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 3 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Ramon de Carranza |
| coach days | 868.00 | 534.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1534.26 | 1432.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.75 | 3.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.80 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 38.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -1.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.86 | 27.15 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |