← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Jul 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Ulusoy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.31 |
| Ankaragücü win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor −0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Ankaragücü −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 70' | 🟨 | Ender Aygören · Ankaragücü |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ismail Aissati · Denizlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hüseyin Altıntaş · Denizlispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | İlhan Parlak · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 24.00 | 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1441.87 | 1446.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.27 | 10.40 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.62 |
| league points | 39.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 39.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.85 | 30.23 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -1.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |