← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Jul 25, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Şansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.34 |
| Goztep win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Sivasspor +0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Barış Yardımcı · Sivasspor |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Stefano Napoleoni · Goztep |
| 49' | ⚽ | Fernando Andrade · Sivasspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Berkan Emir · Goztep |
| 55' | ⚽ | Marcio Mossoró · Goztep |
| 58' | 🟨 | Yalçın Kayan · Goztep |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mert Hakan Yandaş · Sivasspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Sivasspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Celso Borges · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟥 | — · Goztep |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Berkan Emir · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 25 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Gursel Aksel Stadium |
| coach days | 540.00 | 420.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1448.98 | 1623.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.89 | 0.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| league points | 42.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.79 | 29.64 |
| state index | -1.24 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |