← Süper Lig 2019 · Sun, Jul 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 53% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Fenerbahce win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Besiktas −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟥 | Vedat Muriqi · Fenerbahce |
| 27' | 🟨 | Jeremain Lens · Besiktas |
| 31' | 🟨 | Gökhan Gönül · Besiktas |
| 55' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 63' | ⚽ | Domagoj Vida · Besiktas |
| 70' | ⚽ | Gökhan Gönül · Besiktas |
| 81' | 🟨 | Simon Falette · Fenerbahce |
| 86' | 🟨 | Deniz Türüç · Fenerbahce |
| 88' | 🟨 | Tolga Ciğerci · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jailson |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 200.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1657.74 | 1597.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.32 | -22.87 |
| eye test v1 | 1.03 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| league points | 67.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.80 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 64.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.46 | 27.49 |
| state index | 0.66 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.37 | 1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |