← Süper Lig 2019 · Mon, Jul 13, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Y. Uğurlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.07 |
| Denizlispor win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor +0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Denizlispor +0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Caleb Ekuban · Trabzonspor |
| 46' | ⚽ | Hadi Sacko · Denizlispor |
| 64' | 🟨 | José Sosa · Trabzonspor |
| 84' | ⚽ | Óscar Estupiñán · Denizlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Caleb Ekuban · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 23 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 12.00 | 194.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1430.11 | 1717.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.55 | 21.55 |
| eye test v1 | -1.29 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.72 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.75 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 36.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.63 | 27.82 |
| state index | -1.11 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |