← Süper Lig 2019 · Tue, Jul 7, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Ulusoy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 |
| Genclerbirligi win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi +0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Fenerbahce +0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Jailson · Fenerbahce |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 54' | 🟨 | Yasin Pehlivan · Genclerbirligi |
| 59' | 🟨 | Hasan Ali Kaldırım · Fenerbahce |
| 60' | ⚽ | Bogdan Stancu · Genclerbirligi |
| 74' | 🟨 | Nabil Dirar · Fenerbahce |
| 81' | ⚽ | Emre Belözoğlu · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Candeias · Genclerbirligi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sefa Yılmaz · Genclerbirligi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 280.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1443.23 | 1612.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.82 | -23.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.59 |
| league points | 36.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | 1.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.77 | 28.03 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |