← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Jul 4, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Şimşek
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Goztep win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Goztep −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Ferdi Kadıoğlu · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ferdi Kadıoğlu · Fenerbahce |
| 49' | 🟨 | Murat Paluli · Goztep |
| 54' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 66' | ⚽ | Soner Aydoğdu · Goztep |
| 77' | 🟨 | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟥 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 33.00 | 519.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1607.41 | 1486.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.96 | -36.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| league points | 56.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.39 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.76 | 30.23 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.10 | 1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |