← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Jul 4, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Ankaragücü win | 29% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ankaragücü +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Welinton · Alanyaspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Stelios Kitsiou · Ankaragücü |
| 64' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 66' | ⚽ | Onur Bulut · Alanyaspor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Gelmin Rivas · Ankaragücü |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Anastasios Bakasetas · Alanyaspor |
| 82' | ⚽ | Gelmin Rivas · Ankaragücü |
| 89' | 🟨 | Emircan Altıntaş · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Junior Fernandes · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 246.00 | 399.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1435.90 | 1588.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.76 | -7.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 30.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.63 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 31.00 | 31.12 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.64 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |