← Süper Lig 2019 · Fri, Jul 3, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Ö. Yankaya
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Gaziantep win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Gaziantep +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Mustafa Yumlu · Denizlispor |
| 24' | ⚽ | Güray Vural · Gaziantep |
| 53' | 🟨 | Oğuz Yılmaz · Denizlispor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Kenan Özer · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 2.00 | 641.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1446.14 | 1490.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.55 | 4.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.65 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 66.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 36.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 5.10 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 30.79 | 29.38 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |