← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Jun 27, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Y. Uğurlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Goztep win | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Goztep +0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
| Alanyaspor +0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 11' | ⚽ | Serdar Gürler · Goztep |
| 22' | 🟨 | Celso Borges · Goztep |
| 31' | 🟨 | Steven Caulker · Alanyaspor |
| 42' | 🟨 | Juanfran · Alanyaspor |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 45' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 49' | ⚽ | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 64' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Titi · Goztep |
| 90' | ⚽ | Stefano Napoleoni · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı |
| coach days | 512.00 | 392.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1485.62 | 1589.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.93 | -8.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 40.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.72 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 30.23 | 30.99 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.27 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |