← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Jun 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Kalkavan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Denizlispor win | 24% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Denizlispor +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Burak Yılmaz · Besiktas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marc Kibong Mbamba · Denizlispor |
| 53' | ⚽ | Óscar Estupiñán · Denizlispor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Oğuz Yılmaz · Denizlispor |
| 60' | ⚽ | Gökhan Gönül · Besiktas |
| 67' | ⚽ | Georges-Kévin N'Koudou · Besiktas |
| 75' | ⚽ | Adem Ljajić · Besiktas |
| 78' | ⚽ | Abdoulay Diaby · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 10 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Denizlispor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu |
| coach days | 140.00 | 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 4.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1455.66 | 1642.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.80 | 7.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.89 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 35.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 1.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 30.28 | 28.60 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |