← Süper Lig 2019 · Fri, Jun 12, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 63% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.68 |
| Kayserispor win | 16% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Kayserispor −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.46 |
| Under | 34% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟥 | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 15' | 🟨 | Emre Belözoğlu · Fenerbahce |
| 59' | ⚽ | Bernard Mensah · Kayserispor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Cristian Săpunaru · Kayserispor |
| 82' | 🟨 | Bernard Mensah · Kayserispor |
| 87' | ⚽ (pen) | Vedat Muriqi · Fenerbahce |
| 88' | ⚽ | Luiz Gustavo · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 11.00 | 103.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1636.41 | 1403.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -53.97 | -3.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.57 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 68.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| league points | 50.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 0.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.74 | 1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.43 | 28.48 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.45 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |