← Süper Lig 2019 · Sat, Mar 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Z. Küçük
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 70% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.36 |
| Denizlispor win | 12% | 8.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Denizlispor −1.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Fenerbahce −1.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.49 |
| Under | 35% | 2.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 36' | 🟨 | Tolgay Arslan · Fenerbahce |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tolgay Arslan · Fenerbahce |
| 43' | 🟥 | Tolgay Arslan · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Radosław Murawski · Denizlispor |
| 53' | 🟨 | Óscar Estupiñán · Denizlispor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Hasan Ali Kaldırım · Fenerbahce |
| 75' | ⚽ | Mustafa Yumlu · Denizlispor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 77' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 86' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Denizlispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| 86' | 🟨 | Radosław Murawski · Denizlispor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Özgür Çek · Denizlispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Altay Bayındır · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Recep Niyaz · Denizlispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| coach days | 462.00 | 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1655.92 | 1443.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -53.88 | -20.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.66 |
| league points | 49.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.85 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.21 | 28.69 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.17 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |